AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League May 09, 2025

FC Aarau

Home
VS
18:15

FC WIL 1900

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
FC WIL 1900 Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.76 - 1.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.9 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
FC WIL 1900 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
FC Aarau Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 FC Aarau vs Servette … 4-0
May 02 FC Aarau vs FC Thun 2-1
Apr 26 FC Aarau vs Servette … 1-1
Apr 25 FC Aarau vs FC Schaff… 1-1
Apr 19 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 4-0
Apr 18 FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz 2-2
Apr 12 FC Aarau vs Basel Wom… 1-2
Apr 11 FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Apr 04 FC Aarau vs Stade Lau… 2-2
Mar 31 FC Aarau vs Bellinzona 1-1
FC WIL 1900 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 FC WIL 19… vs FC Schaff… 3-1
Apr 27 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 2-2
Apr 21 FC WIL 19… vs FC Thun 7-0
Apr 13 FC WIL 19… vs Étoile Ca… 2-2
Apr 04 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 0-2
Apr 01 FC WIL 19… vs FC Vaduz 0-3
Mar 28 FC WIL 19… vs FC Schaff… 1-3
Mar 08 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 0-3
Feb 28 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Lau… 2-1
Feb 15 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Aarau struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 17, 2024 FC Aarau 0 - 4 FC WIL 1900 Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
FC WIL 1900 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+6

Position Gap

8

FC WIL 1900 Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.