AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Apr 18, 2025

Bellinzona

Home
VS
17:30

Stade Nyonnais

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bellinzona Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Stade Nyonnais Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.30 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bellinzona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Stade Nyonnais Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Bellinzona Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz 3-1
Apr 05 Bellinzona vs Étoile Ca… 7-0
Mar 31 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 1-1
Mar 28 Bellinzona vs Stade Nyo… 3-0
Mar 16 Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz 3-1
Mar 08 Bellinzona vs FC WIL 19… 0-3
Mar 02 Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel… 1-1
Feb 25 Bellinzona vs Lausanne 1-1
Feb 01 Bellinzona vs FC Aarau 2-1
Dec 14 Bellinzona vs FC WIL 19… 0-2
Stade Nyonnais Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Stade Nyo… vs FC Thun 0-2
Apr 04 Stade Nyo… vs FC WIL 19… 0-2
Mar 31 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 2-1
Mar 28 Stade Nyo… vs Bellinzona 3-0
Mar 16 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 4-0
Mar 07 Stade Nyo… vs Étoile Ca… 0-3
Feb 15 Stade Nyo… vs FC WIL 19… 2-1
Feb 01 Stade Nyo… vs FC Vaduz 1-1
Jan 24 Stade Nyo… vs FC Aarau 1-2
Jan 17 Stade Nyo… vs Neuchâtel… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bellinzona struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Stade Nyonnais struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 28, 2025 Stade Nyonnais 3 - 0 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Nov 30, 2024 Bellinzona 1 - 1 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Jul 26, 2024 Stade Nyonnais 2 - 1 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
May 09, 2024 Stade Nyonnais 1 - 3 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Mar 09, 2024 Bellinzona 0 - 2 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Oct 27, 2023 Stade Nyonnais 2 - 3 Bellinzona Challenge Leag…
Oct 01, 2023 Bellinzona 1 - 0 Stade Nyonnais Challenge Leag…
Jun 04, 2022 Stade Nyonnais 1 - 2 Bellinzona 1. Liga Promot…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bellinzona Power 0
Stade Nyonnais Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bellinzona Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Stade Nyonnais Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.