AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League May 17, 2024

FC Aarau

Home
VS
18:15

FC WIL 1900

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
FC WIL 1900 Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.77 - 1.53
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
FC WIL 1900 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
FC Aarau Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
May 11 FC Aarau vs Grasshopp… 0-5
May 09 FC Aarau vs FC Sion 1-2
May 04 FC Aarau vs Servette … 3-2
May 03 FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz 2-1
Apr 27 FC Aarau vs Servette … 0-4
Apr 26 FC Aarau vs Bellinzona 0-2
Apr 23 FC Aarau vs Baden 0-1
Apr 19 FC Aarau vs FC Thun 3-0
Apr 13 FC Aarau vs St. Galle… 3-2
Apr 12 FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… 3-1
FC WIL 1900 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 09 FC WIL 19… vs Baden 3-1
May 03 FC WIL 19… vs FC Sion 4-0
Apr 27 FC WIL 19… vs FC Schaff… 0-1
Apr 23 FC WIL 19… vs Neuchâtel… 2-2
Apr 20 FC WIL 19… vs FC Vaduz 3-1
Apr 14 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 0-0
Apr 06 FC WIL 19… vs Bellinzona 4-1
Mar 30 FC WIL 19… vs Baden 2-1
Mar 01 FC WIL 19… vs Stade Nyo… 1-1
Feb 23 FC WIL 19… vs FC Aarau 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Aarau struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • FC WIL 1900 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2024 FC WIL 1900 1 - 1 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Dec 10, 2023 FC Aarau 1 - 1 FC WIL 1900 Challenge Leag…
Sep 29, 2023 FC WIL 1900 0 - 2 FC Aarau Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power 0
FC WIL 1900 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Aarau Position

+6

Position Gap

8

FC WIL 1900 Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.