AI Match Insights

Superliga Apr 27, 2025

FC Midtjylland

Home
VS
16:00

FC Nordsjaelland

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
FC Midtjylland Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
FC Nordsjaelland Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.01 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.8 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Midtjylland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
FC Nordsjaelland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
FC Midtjylland Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 FC Midtjy… vs FC Nordsj… 3-2
Apr 17 FC Midtjy… vs FC Copenh… 4-2
Apr 13 FC Midtjy… vs Aarhus GF 1-1
Apr 04 FC Midtjy… vs Rangers FC 2-1
Mar 16 FC Midtjy… vs Rangers FC 4-2
Mar 02 FC Midtjy… vs FC Nordsj… 2-1
Feb 20 FC Midtjy… vs Real Soci… 5-2
Feb 13 FC Midtjy… vs Real Soci… 1-2
Nov 10 FC Midtjy… vs Viborg 1-0
Oct 31 FC Midtjy… vs Brondby 1-0
FC Nordsjaelland Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 FC Nordsj… vs FC Midtjy… 3-2
Apr 21 FC Nordsj… vs Fortuna H… 0-3
Apr 18 FC Nordsj… vs Brondby 0-0
Apr 13 FC Nordsj… vs Rangers FC 5-2
Apr 12 FC Nordsj… vs Brøndby 1-1
Mar 22 FC Nordsj… vs AGF 1-2
Mar 16 FC Nordsj… vs Odense Wo… 1-2
Mar 02 FC Nordsj… vs FC Midtjy… 2-1
Nov 23 FC Nordsj… vs AGF 1-2
Nov 16 FC Nordsj… vs Brøndby 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 22, 2025 FC Nordsjaelland 3 - 2 FC Midtjylland Superliga
Mar 02, 2025 FC Midtjylland 2 - 1 FC Nordsjaelland Superliga
Jul 27, 2024 FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 2 FC Midtjylland Superliga
May 20, 2024 FC Nordsjaelland 3 - 3 FC Midtjylland Superliga
Apr 01, 2024 FC Midtjylland 2 - 3 FC Nordsjaelland Superliga
Nov 12, 2023 FC Midtjylland 2 - 0 FC Nordsjaelland Superliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Midtjylland to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Midtjylland Power 0
FC Nordsjaelland Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

FC Midtjylland Position

+6

Position Gap

8

FC Nordsjaelland Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.