AI Match Insights

1st Division May 04, 2025

HB Køge

Home
VS
14:00

Roskilde

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
HB Køge Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Roskilde Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 39%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.04 - 1.84
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
HB Køge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Roskilde Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-2 (10%) 1-3 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
HB Køge Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 25 HB Køge vs Hillerød 3-0
Apr 21 HB Køge vs Hobro 0-2
Apr 17 HB Køge vs Roskilde 1-1
Apr 13 HB Køge vs Hillerød 0-2
Mar 14 HB Køge vs Roskilde 2-1
Dec 02 HB Køge vs Hillerød 1-5
Sep 29 HB Køge vs Roskilde 0-2
Sep 26 HB Køge vs FC Copenh… 0-2
Aug 16 HB Køge vs Hillerød 4-2
Jun 01 HB Køge vs AC Horsens 1-1
Roskilde Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Roskilde vs Vendsysse… 2-1
Apr 20 Roskilde vs Hillerød 5-2
Apr 17 Roskilde vs HB Køge 1-1
Apr 12 Roskilde vs Vendsysse… 0-0
Mar 14 Roskilde vs HB Køge 2-1
Sep 29 Roskilde vs HB Køge 0-2
Sep 25 Roskilde vs Silkeborg… 1-3
Jun 15 Roskilde vs Aarhus GF 1-2
Jun 08 Roskilde vs Esbjerg 2-2
May 31 Roskilde vs Nykøbing … 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • HB Køge struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2025 Roskilde 1 - 1 HB Køge 1st Division
Mar 14, 2025 HB Køge 2 - 1 Roskilde 1st Division
Sep 29, 2024 Roskilde 0 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Jul 15, 2023 HB Køge 0 - 1 Roskilde Friendlies Clu…
Jun 14, 2020 Roskilde 2 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: HB Køge to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
HB Køge Power 0
Roskilde Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.