AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1st Division Apr 17, 2025

Roskilde

Home
VS
12:00

HB Køge

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Roskilde Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
HB Køge Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.15 - 1.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 1.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Roskilde Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
HB Køge Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Roskilde Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Roskilde vs Vendsysse… 0-0
Mar 14 Roskilde vs HB Køge 2-1
Sep 29 Roskilde vs HB Køge 0-2
Sep 25 Roskilde vs Silkeborg… 1-3
Jun 15 Roskilde vs Aarhus GF 1-2
Jun 08 Roskilde vs Esbjerg 2-2
May 31 Roskilde vs Nykøbing … 5-1
May 24 Roskilde vs AB Københ… 3-3
May 18 Roskilde vs Middelfart 0-0
May 12 Roskilde vs Esbjerg 3-2
HB Køge Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 HB Køge vs Hillerød 0-2
Mar 14 HB Køge vs Roskilde 2-1
Dec 02 HB Køge vs Hillerød 1-5
Sep 29 HB Køge vs Roskilde 0-2
Sep 26 HB Køge vs FC Copenh… 0-2
Aug 16 HB Køge vs Hillerød 4-2
Jun 01 HB Køge vs AC Horsens 1-1
May 26 HB Køge vs Naestved 1-0
May 20 HB Køge vs FC Helsin… 3-1
May 10 HB Køge vs B 93 7-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Roskilde struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • HB Køge struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 14, 2025 HB Køge 2 - 1 Roskilde 1st Division
Sep 29, 2024 Roskilde 0 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Jul 15, 2023 HB Køge 0 - 1 Roskilde Friendlies Clu…
Jun 14, 2020 Roskilde 2 - 2 HB Køge 1st Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Roskilde to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Roskilde Power 0
HB Køge Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.