AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership May 11, 2024

St. Mirren

Home
VS
14:00

Kilmarnock

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
St. Mirren Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Kilmarnock Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.63 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.2
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Mirren Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Kilmarnock Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
St. Mirren Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 04 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 1-3
Apr 28 St. Mirren vs Rangers FC 1-2
Apr 13 St. Mirren vs Celtic 3-0
Apr 06 St. Mirren vs Heart of … 1-2
Mar 30 St. Mirren vs Motherwell 1-1
Mar 16 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock 5-2
Mar 02 St. Mirren vs Aberdeen 2-1
Feb 17 St. Mirren vs Livingston 1-0
Feb 11 St. Mirren vs Celtic 0-2
Feb 07 St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Kilmarnock Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 4-1
Apr 27 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 0-0
Apr 13 Kilmarnock vs ST Johnst… 0-2
Apr 06 Kilmarnock vs Ross Coun… 1-0
Mar 30 Kilmarnock vs Heart of … 1-1
Mar 16 Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren 5-2
Mar 09 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 3-1
Mar 02 Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Feb 28 Kilmarnock vs Rangers FC 1-2
Feb 24 Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Mirren struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren Premiership
Dec 27, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock Premiership
Sep 30, 2023 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 St. Mirren Premiership
Apr 22, 2023 St. Mirren 0 - 2 Kilmarnock Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Mirren Power 0
Kilmarnock Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

St. Mirren Position

+2

Position Gap

11

Kilmarnock Position
Home Win Rate: 31%
Away Win Rate: 8%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.