AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Apr 20, 2024

Dundee Utd

Home
VS
14:00

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Dundee Utd Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Ayr Utd Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.29 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.1
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Dundee Utd Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 0-0
Apr 13 Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen 0-0
Apr 12 Dundee Utd vs Morton 1-4
Apr 06 Dundee Utd vs Motherwell 2-3
Apr 06 Dundee Utd vs Queen's P… 0-5
Mar 30 Dundee Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-0
Mar 23 Dundee Utd vs Inverness… 1-1
Mar 15 Dundee Utd vs Dunfermli… 3-1
Mar 13 Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen 1-0
Mar 02 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 2-2
Ayr Utd Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 5-0
Apr 09 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-1
Apr 06 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-1
Mar 29 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 2-1
Mar 23 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-2
Mar 16 Ayr Utd vs Inverness… 1-2
Mar 02 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Feb 27 Ayr Utd vs Partick 4-3
Feb 24 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Feb 17 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 03, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Dundee Utd Championship
Dec 09, 2023 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Aug 26, 2023 Ayr Utd 0 - 3 Dundee Utd Championship
Aug 14, 2021 Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dundee Utd League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dundee Utd Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.