AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Apr 06, 2024

Raith Rovers

Home
VS
14:00

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Raith Rovers Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Ayr Utd Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.57 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Raith Rovers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Raith Rov… vs Dundee Utd 2-0
Mar 16 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 0-0
Mar 12 Raith Rov… vs Partick 0-1
Mar 09 Raith Rov… vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Mar 01 Raith Rov… vs Arbroath 3-2
Feb 24 Raith Rov… vs Ayr Utd 1-2
Feb 02 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 0-1
Jan 20 Raith Rov… vs Livingston 2-1
Jan 13 Raith Rov… vs Queen's P… 1-2
Jan 06 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Ayr Utd Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 2-1
Mar 23 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-2
Mar 16 Ayr Utd vs Inverness… 1-2
Mar 02 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Feb 27 Ayr Utd vs Partick 4-3
Feb 24 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 1-2
Feb 17 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 2-3
Feb 10 Ayr Utd vs Rangers FC 2-0
Feb 03 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-2
Jan 27 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ayr Utd in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Raith Rovers Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Raith Rovers Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Ayr Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.