AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Sep 08, 2024

Ayr Utd

Home
VS
12:00

Raith Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Ayr Utd Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Raith Rovers Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Ayr Utd Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 1-1
Aug 24 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-0
Aug 09 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 5-0
Jul 20 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 2-1
May 03 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 3-3
Apr 27 Ayr Utd vs Partick 0-0
Apr 20 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Apr 13 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 5-0
Apr 09 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-1
Apr 06 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-1
Raith Rovers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Raith Rov… vs Ayr Utd 2-0
Aug 13 Raith Rov… vs Cowdenbea… 3-4
Aug 10 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-0
Aug 03 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 1-0
Jul 30 Raith Rov… vs Hibernian… 3-3
Jul 27 Raith Rov… vs Hamilton … 1-1
Jul 20 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 2-1
May 26 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 4-0
May 23 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 1-2
May 17 Raith Rov… vs Partick 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Raith Rovers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ayr Utd to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ayr Utd Power 0
Raith Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.