AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Sep 07, 2024

Stenhousemuir

Home
VS
14:00

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Stenhousemuir Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Falkirk Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.68 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.6
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Stenhousemuir Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 5-1
Aug 17 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Aug 10 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 2-0
Apr 06 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 0-0
Mar 30 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 0-0
Mar 23 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 0-0
Feb 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 1-1
Feb 03 Stenhouse… vs Dumbarton 1-0
Jan 27 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 2-1
Dec 16 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 2-1
Falkirk Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Falkirk vs Heart of … 2-0
Jul 13 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 2-0
May 04 Falkirk vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Apr 27 Falkirk vs Alloa Ath… 3-3
Apr 20 Falkirk vs Kelty Hea… 2-2
Apr 13 Falkirk vs Hamilton … 0-2
Apr 06 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 5-1
Mar 30 Falkirk vs Montrose 1-7
Mar 23 Falkirk vs Edinburgh… 4-1
Mar 16 Falkirk vs Queen of … 1-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stenhousemuir to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.