AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge Cup Sep 07, 2024

Stranraer

Home
VS
14:00

Annan Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Stranraer Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Annan Athletic Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.34 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Annan Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Stranraer Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Stranraer vs Elgin City 1-1
Aug 13 Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg… 2-1
Aug 10 Stranraer vs Clyde 1-0
Aug 03 Stranraer vs Spartans 2-2
Jul 23 Stranraer vs Stirling … 2-2
May 18 Stranraer vs East Kilb… 3-1
May 11 Stranraer vs East Kilb… 2-2
Apr 27 Stranraer vs Alloa Ath… 2-0
Apr 20 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 0-0
Apr 13 Stranraer vs Spartans 0-0
Annan Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 15 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 3-1
Mar 25 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 0-0
Nov 26 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Oct 15 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Jul 30 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-0
Mar 05 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 4-1
Jan 02 Annan Ath… vs Stranraer 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 15, 2023 Annan Athletic 3 - 1 Stranraer Challenge Cup
Mar 25, 2023 Annan Athletic 0 - 0 Stranraer League Two
Nov 26, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Annan Athletic League Two
Oct 15, 2022 Annan Athletic 1 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jul 30, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 0 Annan Athletic League Two
Mar 05, 2022 Annan Athletic 4 - 1 Stranraer League Two
Jan 02, 2022 Stranraer 1 - 1 Annan Athletic League Two
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stranraer to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stranraer Power 0
Annan Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.