AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Oct 14, 2024

Derry City

Home
VS
18:15

Sligo Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Derry City Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sligo Rovers Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.22 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Derry City Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 11 Derry City vs Bohemians… 1-1
Oct 11 Derry City vs Waterford 4-0
Oct 04 Derry City vs Bohemians… 0-2
Oct 04 Derry City vs Cobh Ramb… 2-1
Sep 27 Derry City vs Drogheda … 2-1
Sep 27 Derry City vs Finn Harps 1-1
Sep 20 Derry City vs Shamrock … 1-1
Sep 20 Derry City vs Bray Wand… 2-0
Sep 14 Derry City vs Shelbourne 2-0
Sep 13 Derry City vs Cork City 1-4
Sligo Rovers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Sligo Rov… vs Shelbourne 0-0
Sep 21 Sligo Rov… vs Dundalk 2-1
Sep 13 Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … 4-0
Aug 31 Sligo Rov… vs Waterford 2-0
Aug 23 Sligo Rov… vs Drogheda … 7-0
Aug 17 Sligo Rov… vs UCD 0-2
Jul 04 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 2-1
May 24 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 2-2
Feb 24 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 0-0
Feb 10 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derry City struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 04, 2024 Sligo Rovers 2 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
May 24, 2024 Derry City 2 - 2 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Sligo Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Derry City Power 0
Sligo Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.