AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX May 23, 2025

Club América

Home
VS
02:00

Toluca

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Club América Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Toluca Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.53 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Toluca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Club América Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 2-1
May 16 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 1-0
May 11 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-0
May 08 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 0-0
Apr 19 Club Amér… vs Mazatlán … 5-0
Apr 17 Club Amér… vs Monterrey 1-0
Apr 13 Club Amér… vs Cruz Azul 0-0
Apr 05 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 1-0
Mar 01 Club Amér… vs Toluca 3-0
Feb 15 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 2-3
Toluca Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 3-0
May 15 Toluca vs Tigres UA… 1-1
May 11 Toluca vs Monterrey 2-1
May 08 Toluca vs Monterrey 3-2
Apr 20 Toluca vs Cruz Azul 2-2
Apr 17 Toluca vs Atletico … 0-1
Apr 13 Toluca vs Atlas 2-3
Apr 07 Toluca vs Santos La… 2-1
Mar 15 Toluca vs Puebla 0-3
Mar 01 Toluca vs Club Amér… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club AmĂ©rica in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 01, 2025 Club América 3 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 30, 2024 Toluca 0 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Nov 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 0 Toluca Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Toluca 4 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Apr 14, 2024 Club América 5 - 1 Toluca Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Club América Power 0
Toluca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Club América Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Toluca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.