AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Apr 12, 2025

Mazatlán FC

Home
VS
03:05

Guadalajara Chivas

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Mazatlán FC Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Guadalajara Chivas Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.12 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Mazatlán FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Mazatlán … vs Atletico … 2-1
Mar 29 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 3-2
Feb 26 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 1-0
Jan 29 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 0-1
Jan 11 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-1
Oct 19 Mazatlán … vs Atlas 0-0
Sep 22 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 0-0
Sep 14 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-0
Aug 31 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 1-1
Jul 20 Mazatlán … vs Guadalaja… 2-0
Guadalajara Chivas Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Guadalaja… vs Monterrey 3-1
Mar 30 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul 0-1
Mar 16 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-1
Feb 27 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 3-1
Feb 23 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 2-1
Feb 01 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro 1-1
Dec 28 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 0-0
Nov 22 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 1-2
Nov 09 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 0-1
Oct 19 Guadalaja… vs Pachuca 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mazatlán FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Guadalajara Chivas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2024 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 0 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Feb 17, 2024 Mazatlán FC 2 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Sep 27, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 3 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Apr 30, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 4 - 1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Dec 17, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Aug 06, 2022 Mazatlán FC 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Jan 10, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 3 - 0 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Nov 06, 2021 Mazatlán FC 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mazatlán FC Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.