AI Match Insights

Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Apr 13, 2025

Monarcas

Home
VS
01:00

CancĂșn

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Monarcas Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
CancĂșn Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Monarcas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Monarcas Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Monarcas vs Mineros d
 1-1
Mar 29 Monarcas vs Correcami
 3-2
Mar 21 Monarcas vs Leones Ne
 2-1
Feb 09 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 2-1
Jan 11 Monarcas vs CDS Tampi
 1-0
Oct 25 Monarcas vs CancĂșn 3-1
Oct 11 Monarcas vs Correcami
 3-0
Aug 25 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 1-1
Jul 28 Monarcas vs CDS Tampi
 1-1
Apr 13 Monarcas vs Alebrijes
 3-3
CancĂșn Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 CancĂșn vs TapatĂ­o 1-2
Mar 29 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 4-1
Mar 23 CancĂșn vs Celaya 1-1
Mar 16 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Mar 09 CancĂșn vs Dorados 1-0
Feb 23 CancĂșn vs Leones Ne
 1-0
Jan 26 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 1-0
Oct 30 CancĂșn vs Dorados 4-1
Oct 25 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 3-1
Sep 28 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 5-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monarcas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 25, 2024 CancĂșn 3 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 15, 2024 Monarcas 0 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Aug 20, 2023 CancĂșn 2 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Mar 02, 2023 CancĂșn 1 - 0 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Sep 23, 2022 Monarcas 0 - 0 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Feb 18, 2022 Monarcas 4 - 1 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Oct 14, 2021 CancĂșn 0 - 1 Monarcas Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monarcas Power 0
CancĂșn Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Monarcas Position

-1

Position Gap

4

CancĂșn Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.