AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Apr 12, 2025

CA La Paz

Home
VS
03:00

Dorados

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
CA La Paz Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dorados Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.45 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
CA La Paz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Dorados Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
CA La Paz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 05 CA La Paz vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Mar 29 CA La Paz vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Mar 22 CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán 4-1
Mar 08 CA La Paz vs Mineros d… 0-2
Mar 01 CA La Paz vs TapatĂ­o 4-1
Feb 08 CA La Paz vs Venados FC 2-1
Jan 25 CA La Paz vs Correcami… 1-1
Sep 19 CA La Paz vs Mineros d… 4-0
Sep 15 CA La Paz vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Aug 24 CA La Paz vs Venados FC 1-1
Dorados Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Dorados vs Venados FC 3-1
Mar 30 Dorados vs Tlaxcala 3-2
Mar 23 Dorados vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Mar 16 Dorados vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Mar 09 Dorados vs CancĂşn 1-0
Feb 08 Dorados vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Jan 12 Dorados vs Mineros d… 0-2
Oct 30 Dorados vs CancĂşn 4-1
Oct 19 Dorados vs Venados FC 4-0
Sep 28 Dorados vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dorados struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CA La Paz to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CA La Paz Power 0
Dorados Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

CA La Paz Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Dorados Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.