AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX May 05, 2024

Atlante FC

Home
VS
22:00

TapatĂ­o

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Atlante FC Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
TapatĂ­o Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.30 - 1.02
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.0
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Atlante FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-3
Apr 28 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 2-1
Apr 26 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 0-1
Apr 12 Atlante FC vs Correcami… 4-0
Apr 02 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-0
Mar 29 Atlante FC vs Dorados 0-3
Mar 24 Atlante FC vs Monarcas 0-0
Mar 14 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-2
Sep 30 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Aug 06 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 2-2
TapatĂ­o Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 02 TapatĂ­o vs Atlante FC 0-3
Apr 28 TapatĂ­o vs Celaya 2-0
Apr 25 TapatĂ­o vs Celaya 4-3
Apr 12 TapatĂ­o vs Celaya 1-2
Apr 06 TapatĂ­o vs Dorados 1-3
Apr 02 TapatĂ­o vs Atlante FC 0-0
Mar 27 TapatĂ­o vs CancĂşn 1-1
Mar 23 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 0-4
Feb 23 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Feb 02 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlante FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • TapatĂ­o in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 3 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Apr 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Sep 30, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
Jun 04, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 0 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 28, 2023 Tapatío 3 - 1 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlante FC Power 0
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Atlante FC Position

-12

Position Gap

3

TapatĂ­o Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.