AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX May 02, 2024

TapatĂ­o

Home
VS
23:30

Atlante FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
TapatĂ­o Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Atlante FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.88
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 0-1 (27%) 0-2 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Under 2.5 Goals 88%
TapatĂ­o Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 TapatĂ­o vs Celaya 2-0
Apr 25 TapatĂ­o vs Celaya 4-3
Apr 12 TapatĂ­o vs Celaya 1-2
Apr 06 TapatĂ­o vs Dorados 1-3
Apr 02 TapatĂ­o vs Atlante FC 0-0
Mar 27 TapatĂ­o vs CancĂşn 1-1
Mar 23 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 0-4
Feb 23 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Feb 02 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 0-2
Jan 11 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 0-2
Atlante FC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 2-1
Apr 26 Atlante FC vs CancĂşn 0-1
Apr 12 Atlante FC vs Correcami… 4-0
Apr 02 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-0
Mar 29 Atlante FC vs Dorados 0-3
Mar 24 Atlante FC vs Monarcas 0-0
Mar 14 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-2
Sep 30 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Aug 06 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 2-2
Jun 04 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • TapatĂ­o in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Atlante FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2024 Tapatío 0 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Sep 30, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
Jun 04, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 0 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 28, 2023 Tapatío 3 - 1 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

PRO: TapatĂ­o to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Atlante FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

TapatĂ­o Position

+12

Position Gap

15

Atlante FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.