AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Apr 04, 2024

Venados FC

Home
VS
03:05

CancĂșn

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Venados FC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
CancĂșn Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.52 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Venados FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Venados FC vs Monarcas 3-4
Mar 24 Venados FC vs Correcami
 2-1
Mar 13 Venados FC vs Alebrijes
 2-1
Feb 22 Venados FC vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Feb 01 Venados FC vs Dorados 2-3
Jan 11 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 0-2
Nov 12 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 1-0
Oct 16 Venados FC vs Dorados 4-1
Sep 05 Venados FC vs Alebrijes
 2-1
Aug 30 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 2-1
CancĂșn Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 27 CancĂșn vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Mar 15 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 0-1
Feb 09 CancĂșn vs Leones Ne
 2-0
Jan 17 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 3-0
Jan 11 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-0
Oct 14 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 2-5
Sep 07 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 1-2
Aug 20 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 2-0
Aug 13 CancĂșn vs Dorados 1-0
Apr 07 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Venados FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venados FC Power 0
CancĂșn Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Venados FC Position

-4

Position Gap

4

CancĂșn Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.