AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Apr 02, 2024

TapatĂ­o

Home
VS
23:05

Atlante FC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
TapatĂ­o Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Atlante FC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 0.96 - 1.77
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
TapatĂ­o Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Atlante FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
TapatĂ­o Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 27 TapatĂ­o vs CancĂşn 1-1
Mar 23 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 0-4
Feb 23 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Feb 02 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 0-2
Jan 11 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 0-2
Oct 12 Tapatío vs Leones Ne… 2-4
Sep 30 TapatĂ­o vs Atlante FC 1-1
Sep 25 Tapatío vs Tepatitlán 2-2
Aug 30 TapatĂ­o vs Venados FC 2-1
Aug 07 TapatĂ­o vs CA La Paz 2-2
Atlante FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Atlante FC vs Dorados 0-3
Mar 24 Atlante FC vs Monarcas 0-0
Mar 14 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-2
Sep 30 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-1
Aug 06 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 2-2
Jun 04 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
May 28 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 3-1
May 13 Atlante FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-0
Mar 31 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 0-0
Aug 29 Atlante FC vs Tepatitlán 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • TapatĂ­o struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 30, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 1 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
Jun 04, 2023 Atlante FC 1 - 0 Tapatío Liga de Expans…
May 28, 2023 Tapatío 3 - 1 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
May 13, 2023 Tapatío 1 - 0 Atlante FC Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

PRO: TapatĂ­o to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
TapatĂ­o Power 0
Atlante FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

TapatĂ­o Position

+12

Position Gap

15

Atlante FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.