AI Match Insights
Liga de ExpansiĆ³n MX Mar 24, 2024
Tlaxcala
HomeVS
03:05
Leones Negros UDG
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Tlaxcala Win
Draw
Leones Negros UDG Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 47%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.64 - 0.29
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Leones Negros UDG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (39%)
1-0 (25%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
93%
Tlaxcala Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 01 | Tlaxcala vs Correcamiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Tlaxcala vs Venados FC | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Tlaxcala vs CancĆŗn | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Tlaxcala vs Correcamiā¦ | 0-1 |
| Sep 07 | Tlaxcala vs CancĆŗn | 1-2 |
| Aug 05 | Tlaxcala vs Mineros dā¦ | 5-1 |
| Apr 21 | Tlaxcala vs Correcamiā¦ | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Tlaxcala vs CancĆŗn | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Tlaxcala vs Mineros dā¦ | 1-2 |
| Sep 14 | Tlaxcala vs Mineros dā¦ | 1-1 |
Leones Negros UDG Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 | Leones Neā¦ vs Dorados | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | Leones Neā¦ vs UA Zacateā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 09 | Leones Neā¦ vs Tritons Vā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 06 | Leones Neā¦ vs Colima | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Leones Neā¦ vs Tecos | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Leones Neā¦ vs Correcamiā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Leones Neā¦ vs TapatĆo | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Leones Neā¦ vs CancĆŗn | 2-0 |
| Nov 04 | Leones Neā¦ vs Los Cabosā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | Leones Neā¦ vs UA Zacateā¦ | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Tlaxcala in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Leones Negros UDG in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tlaxcala to win (43% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Tlaxcala Power
0
Leones Negros UDG Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Tlaxcala Position+5
Position Gap11
Leones Negros UDG Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.