AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Femenil Mar 30, 2025

Toluca Women

Home
VS
18:00

Monterrey Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Toluca Women Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Monterrey Women Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.42 - 1.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Monterrey Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Toluca Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 21 Toluca Wo… vs Pachuca W… 2-3
Mar 09 Toluca Wo… vs Atlético … 1-0
Mar 04 Toluca Wo… vs Juárez Wo… 3-1
Feb 14 Toluca Wo… vs Guadalaja… 1-0
Feb 06 Toluca Wo… vs Atlas Wom… 0-2
Jan 27 Toluca Wo… vs Tigres UA… 5-0
Jan 21 Toluca Wo… vs Querétaro… 1-2
Jan 18 Toluca Wo… vs Tijuana W… 3-1
Nov 01 Toluca Wo… vs Atlético … 4-0
Oct 05 Toluca Wo… vs Juárez Wo… 2-1
Monterrey Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 25 Monterrey… vs Juárez Wo… 2-1
Mar 19 Monterrey… vs Santos La… 1-3
Mar 03 Monterrey… vs Cruz Azul… 2-3
Feb 11 Monterrey… vs América W… 3-2
Feb 06 Monterrey… vs Necaxa Wo… 4-0
Oct 04 Monterrey… vs Santos La… 4-1
Sep 27 Monterrey… vs León Women 1-1
Sep 24 Monterrey… vs América W… 2-4
Sep 09 Monterrey… vs Cruz Azul… 1-0
Sep 02 Monterrey… vs Querétaro… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monterrey Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Toluca Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2024 Monterrey Women 1 - 0 Toluca Women Liga MX Femenil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toluca Women Power 0
Monterrey Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Toluca Women Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Monterrey Women Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.