AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Femenil Apr 19, 2024

Monterrey Women

Home
VS
03:00

Toluca Women

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Monterrey Women Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Toluca Women Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.97 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Monterrey Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Toluca Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Monterrey Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Monterrey… vs Mazatlán … 0-3
Mar 08 Monterrey… vs León Women 1-4
Mar 05 Monterrey… vs Santos La… 6-0
Feb 03 Monterrey… vs América W… 4-0
Jan 26 Monterrey… vs Cruz Azul… 5-0
Jan 21 Monterrey… vs Querétaro… 0-3
Jan 19 Monterrey… vs Necaxa Wo… 7-0
Oct 10 Monterrey… vs Querétaro… 3-1
Sep 29 Monterrey… vs Necaxa Wo… 0-4
Sep 11 Monterrey… vs Santos La… 1-3
Toluca Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Toluca Wo… vs Querétaro… 1-2
Mar 31 Toluca Wo… vs Juárez Wo… 0-0
Mar 11 Toluca Wo… vs Atlético … 5-1
Feb 09 Toluca Wo… vs Tigres UA… 0-7
Jan 22 Toluca Wo… vs Guadalaja… 1-1
Jan 13 Toluca Wo… vs Atlas Wom… 2-2
Nov 13 Toluca Wo… vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Nov 05 Toluca Wo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Oct 13 Toluca Wo… vs Atlas Wom… 2-1
Oct 05 Toluca Wo… vs Puebla Wo… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monterrey Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Monterrey Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monterrey Women Power 0
Toluca Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Monterrey Women Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Toluca Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.