AI Match Insights

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Primera A Dec 09, 2024

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
00:00

Millonarios

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Millonarios Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.39 - 1.59
Key Insights
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Deportivo Pasto Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-2
Nov 29 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 0-1
Nov 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Patriotas… 3-2
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-0
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 4-3
Nov 11 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 2-2
Nov 10 Deportivo… vs Envigado 1-0
Millonarios Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Dec 03 Millonari… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 30 Millonari… vs Atlético … 2-1
Nov 27 Millonari… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Nov 20 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Nov 15 Millonari… vs Chico 1-5
Nov 11 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Nov 07 Millonari… vs Junior 0-0
Nov 04 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 09 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Millonarios in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 20, 2024 Millonarios 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

MASTER: Deportivo Pasto to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 17
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Millonarios Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+17

Position Gap

18

Millonarios Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.