AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Dec 09, 2024

Santa Fe

Home
VS
00:00

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Santa Fe Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Atlético Nacional Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.09 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Santa Fe Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Santa Fe vs Millonari… 1-1
Dec 02 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-2
Nov 29 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-0
Nov 27 Santa Fe vs Millonari… 0-1
Nov 21 Santa Fe vs Atlético … 5-0
Nov 15 Santa Fe vs Jaguares 3-0
Nov 12 Santa Fe vs America d… 0-0
Nov 09 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 2-1
Nov 05 Santa Fe vs Atlético … 1-1
Oct 11 Santa Fe vs Chico 3-1
Atlético Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 05 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Dec 03 Atlético … vs Millonari… 1-1
Nov 30 Atlético … vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 24 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 0-1
Nov 21 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 5-0
Nov 18 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-0
Nov 15 Atlético … vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 11 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-1
Nov 08 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 1-1
Nov 05 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlético Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Santa Fe struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 5 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
Nov 05, 2024 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Santa Fe Primera A
Apr 13, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Nacional 3 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Santa Fe Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Santa Fe Position

-3

Position Gap

6

Atlético Nacional Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.