AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 21, 2024

Atlético Nacional

Home
VS
01:30

Santa Fe

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Atlético Nacional Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Santa Fe Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 77%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.36 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Santa Fe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Atlético Nacional Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 18 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-0
Nov 15 Atlético … vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 11 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-1
Nov 08 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 1-1
Nov 05 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 1-1
Nov 01 Atlético … vs Independi… 2-0
Oct 25 Atlético … vs Jaguares 2-1
Oct 19 Atlético … vs Jaguares 1-3
Sep 29 Atlético … vs Chico 6-2
Sep 27 Atlético … vs Junior 2-0
Santa Fe Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Santa Fe vs Jaguares 3-0
Nov 12 Santa Fe vs America d… 0-0
Nov 09 Santa Fe vs Once Cald… 2-1
Nov 05 Santa Fe vs Atlético … 1-1
Oct 11 Santa Fe vs Chico 3-1
Oct 06 Santa Fe vs Rionegro … 0-0
Oct 04 Santa Fe vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 30 Santa Fe vs Deportes … 0-0
Sep 26 Santa Fe vs Alianza P… 2-0
Sep 22 Santa Fe vs Fortaleza… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Fe in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2024 Atlético Nacional 1 - 1 Santa Fe Primera A
Apr 13, 2024 Santa Fe 0 - 0 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Atlético Nacional 3 - 0 Santa Fe Primera A
May 12, 2023 Santa Fe 0 - 2 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Santa Fe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Atlético Nacional Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Santa Fe Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.