AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 20, 2024

Millonarios

Home
VS
23:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Deportivo Pasto Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.03 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (22%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Millonarios Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Millonari… vs Chico 1-5
Nov 11 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Nov 07 Millonari… vs Junior 0-0
Nov 04 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 09 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Oct 02 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Sep 29 Millonari… vs Envigado 3-0
Jul 21 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Jul 19 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 09 Millonari… vs River Pla… 1-1
Deportivo Pasto Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Patriotas… 3-2
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-0
Nov 15 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 4-3
Nov 11 Deportivo… vs La Equida… 2-2
Nov 10 Deportivo… vs Envigado 1-0
Nov 08 Deportivo… vs Atlético … 1-1
Nov 07 Deportivo… vs America d… 3-1
Nov 07 Deportivo… vs Jaguares 1-2
Nov 04 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 1-0
Oct 29 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 04, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 15, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 16, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 Millonarios Primera A
Mar 23, 2023 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Nov 14, 2022 Millonarios 2 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jul 09, 2022 Millonarios 1 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-17

Position Gap

1

Deportivo Pasto Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.