AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera A Nov 11, 2024

Millonarios

Home
VS
01:30

Deportivo Pereira

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Millonarios Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Deportivo Pereira Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.93 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Millonarios Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Deportivo Pereira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Millonarios Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 07 Millonari… vs Junior 0-0
Nov 04 Millonari… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Oct 09 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-1
Oct 02 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Sep 29 Millonari… vs Envigado 3-0
Jul 21 Millonari… vs Bucaraman… 1-0
Jul 19 Millonari… vs Independi… 1-1
Jul 09 Millonari… vs River Pla… 1-1
Jul 07 Millonari… vs America d… 2-3
Jul 04 Millonari… vs Llaneros 3-1
Deportivo Pereira Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-2
May 12 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 1-0
Apr 20 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 1-2
Jul 23 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 0-0
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-3
Nov 24 Deportivo… vs Millonari… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pereira struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2024 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 2 Millonarios Primera A
May 12, 2024 Millonarios 1 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Apr 20, 2024 Deportivo Pereira 1 - 2 Millonarios Primera A
Jul 23, 2023 Millonarios 0 - 0 Deportivo Pereira Primera A
Jan 29, 2023 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 3 Millonarios Primera A
Nov 24, 2022 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 1 Millonarios Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Millonarios to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 81
Millonarios Power 0
Deportivo Pereira Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Millonarios Position

-2

Position Gap

16

Deportivo Pereira Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.