AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Oct 22, 2024

Union Magdalena

Home
VS
23:00

Popayan

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Union Magdalena Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Popayan Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 6%
xG: 4.16 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Union Magdalena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Popayan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Union Magdalena Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Union Mag… vs Tigres FC 2-1
Oct 06 Union Mag… vs Leones FC 2-1
Aug 06 Union Mag… vs Orsomarso 3-0
Jul 25 Union Mag… vs Bogota FC 3-2
Feb 16 Union Mag… vs Orsomarso 1-3
Feb 02 Union Mag… vs Bogota FC 0-2
Mar 31 Union Mag… vs Fortaleza… 4-2
Mar 15 Union Mag… vs Fortaleza… 2-1
Nov 28 Union Mag… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Nov 23 Union Mag… vs Bogota FC 4-1
Popayan Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Popayan vs Depor FC 2-0
Oct 08 Popayan vs Quindio 3-1
Sep 15 Popayan vs Tigres FC 0-0
Aug 31 Popayan vs Real Soac… 0-2
May 02 Popayan vs Quindio 2-1
Apr 13 Popayan vs Tigres FC 2-0
Mar 17 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-0
Oct 11 Popayan vs Quindio 2-3
Sep 16 Popayan vs Tigres FC 0-1
Sep 01 Popayan vs Real Soac… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union Magdalena in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Union Magdalena to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Union Magdalena Power 0
Popayan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Union Magdalena Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Popayan Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.