AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Oct 22, 2024

Quindio

Home
VS
23:00

Leones FC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Quindio Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Leones FC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 2.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.8 Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Quindio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Leones FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Quindio Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 14 Quindio vs Cúcuta De… 3-1
Oct 08 Quindio vs Popayan 3-1
Sep 16 Quindio vs Internaci… 1-0
May 12 Quindio vs Leones FC 2-2
May 02 Quindio vs Popayan 2-1
Apr 26 Quindio vs Envigado 2-3
Apr 10 Quindio vs Envigado 3-2
Oct 11 Quindio vs Popayan 2-3
Aug 02 Quindio vs Leones FC 0-0
May 13 Quindio vs Popayan 1-2
Leones FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 16 Leones FC vs Real Soac… 1-0
Oct 10 Leones FC vs Barranqui… 1-2
Oct 06 Leones FC vs Union Mag… 2-1
Sep 28 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-1
Aug 18 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-2
May 12 Leones FC vs Quindio 2-2
Apr 27 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 2-2
Apr 25 Leones FC vs Deportivo… 1-1
Feb 26 Leones FC vs Tigres FC 2-3
Sep 16 Leones FC vs Bogota FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Quindio struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 12, 2024 Leones FC 2 - 2 Quindio Primera B
Aug 02, 2023 Leones FC 0 - 0 Quindio Primera B
Feb 14, 2023 Quindio 0 - 3 Leones FC Primera B
Oct 08, 2022 Quindio 3 - 2 Leones FC Primera B
May 03, 2022 Leones FC 0 - 0 Quindio Primera B
Mar 14, 2021 Leones FC 0 - 2 Quindio Primera B
Oct 08, 2020 Quindio 1 - 0 Leones FC Primera B
Final Verdict

MASTER: Quindio to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Quindio Power 0
Leones FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Quindio Position

+15

Position Gap

16

Leones FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.