AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Colombia Dec 15, 2024

America de Cali

Home
VS
22:00

Atlético Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
America de Cali Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Atlético Nacional Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.52 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
America de Cali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Atlético Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
America de Cali Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 America d… vs Atlético … 3-1
Dec 08 America d… vs Junior 1-0
Dec 04 America d… vs Once Cald… 3-0
Dec 01 America d… vs Deportes … 4-2
Nov 27 America d… vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 24 America d… vs Once Cald… 1-1
Nov 22 America d… vs Junior 1-0
Nov 17 America d… vs Bucaraman… 0-0
Nov 15 America d… vs Once Cald… 3-0
Nov 12 America d… vs Santa Fe 0-0
Atlético Nacional Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Atlético … vs America d… 3-1
Dec 09 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 0-3
Dec 05 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 2-1
Dec 03 Atlético … vs Millonari… 1-1
Nov 30 Atlético … vs Millonari… 2-1
Nov 24 Atlético … vs Deportivo… 0-1
Nov 21 Atlético … vs Santa Fe 5-0
Nov 18 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-0
Nov 15 Atlético … vs Deportes … 1-0
Nov 11 Atlético … vs Independi… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • America de Cali struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 13, 2024 Atlético Nacional 3 - 1 America de Cali Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2024 Atlético Nacional 2 - 1 America de Cali Primera A
Jun 07, 2024 America de Cali 1 - 1 Atlético Nacional Liga Femenina
Jan 28, 2024 America de Cali 4 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 30, 2023 America de Cali 0 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Nov 26, 2023 Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 America de Cali Primera A
Sep 24, 2023 America de Cali 4 - 1 Atlético Nacional Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: America de Cali to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
America de Cali Power 0
Atlético Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.