AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Colombia Oct 24, 2024

Bucaramanga

Home
VS
23:30

Deportivo Pasto

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Bucaramanga Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Deportivo Pasto Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.99 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Bucaramanga Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Oct 09 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Oct 02 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Sep 28 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 0-1
Sep 01 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 0-2
Aug 28 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-1
Aug 24 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Aug 08 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Jul 21 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-0
Jun 16 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-2
Deportivo Pasto Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Deportivo… vs Junior 3-1
Oct 18 Deportivo… vs Bucaraman… 1-2
Oct 17 Deportivo… vs America d… 2-0
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 2-1
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-1
Oct 04 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 03 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-1
Sep 25 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 3-2
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 23, 2021 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bucaramanga to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bucaramanga Power 0
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.