AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Colombia Oct 18, 2024

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
01:40

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Bucaramanga Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 2.53 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Deportivo Pasto Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 17 Deportivo… vs America d… 2-0
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 2-1
Oct 14 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-1
Oct 04 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-1
Oct 03 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-1
Sep 25 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 3-2
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Sep 18 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 1-2
Sep 15 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 0-0
Sep 14 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 4-1
Bucaramanga Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Oct 02 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 0-0
Sep 28 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 0-1
Sep 01 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 0-2
Aug 28 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-1
Aug 24 Bucaraman… vs Deportivo… 1-2
Aug 08 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 0-1
Jul 21 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-0
Jun 16 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 3-2
Jun 09 Bucaraman… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Aug 07, 2022 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 11, 2022 Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 23, 2021 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.