AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera DivisiĂłn Oct 12, 2024

Everton de Vina

Home
VS
23:00

Union La Calera

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Everton de Vina Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Union La Calera Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.39 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Everton de Vina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Union La Calera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Everton de Vina Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Everton d… vs Cobresal 2-1
Sep 28 Everton d… vs Cobresal 2-0
Sep 24 Everton d… vs Coquimbo … 2-2
Aug 29 Everton d… vs A. Italia… 1-2
Aug 03 Everton d… vs O'Higgins 1-1
Jul 26 Everton d… vs Deportes … 1-1
Jul 14 Everton d… vs Universid… 1-0
Jul 07 Everton d… vs Universid… 2-1
Jun 30 Everton d… vs Deportes … 3-1
Jun 02 Everton d… vs Universid… 1-2
Union La Calera Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Union La … vs Universid… 1-0
Sep 29 Union La … vs Ñublense 0-1
Aug 04 Union La … vs Deportes … 1-1
Jul 20 Union La … vs Universid… 2-0
Apr 20 Union La … vs Everton d… 0-1
Mar 22 Union La … vs Universid… 0-0
Mar 06 Union La … vs Everton d… 0-1
Mar 03 Union La … vs Deportes … 1-3
Dec 09 Union La … vs Universid… 0-3
Dec 01 Union La … vs Coquimbo … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union La Calera struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Union La Calera 0 - 1 Everton de Vina Primera Divisi…
Mar 06, 2024 Everton de Vina 0 - 1 Union La Calera CONMEBOL Sudam…
Jul 16, 2023 Everton de Vina 1 - 2 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Jan 28, 2023 Union La Calera 3 - 2 Everton de Vina Primera Divisi…
Jul 24, 2022 Everton de Vina 0 - 1 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Everton de Vina to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Everton de Vina Power 0
Union La Calera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Everton de Vina Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Union La Calera Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.