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Primera DivisiĆ³n - Apertura Aug 04, 2024

PeƱarol Montevideo

Home
VS
18:00

Club Nacional

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
PeƱarol Montevideo Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Club Nacional Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 0.47 - 1.04
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
PeƱarol Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Club Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%) 0-0 (22%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
PeƱarol Montevideo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Danubio 2-0
Jul 27 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Defensor ā€¦ 1-0
Jul 21 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Fenix 2-0
Jul 21 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Cerrito 0-1
Jul 14 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs River Plaā€¦ 1-3
Jul 13 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Rampla Juā€¦ 3-2
Jul 06 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Deportivoā€¦ 1-1
Jul 06 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Cerro Larā€¦ 1-0
Jun 23 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Boston Riā€¦ 1-0
Jun 22 PeƱarol Mā€¦ vs Progreso 0-2
Club Nacional Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Club Naciā€¦ vs Boston Riā€¦ 1-0
Jul 20 Club Naciā€¦ vs Miramar 4-0
Jul 13 Club Naciā€¦ vs Danubio 0-6
Jul 07 Club Naciā€¦ vs Rampla Juā€¦ 1-1
Jun 23 Club Naciā€¦ vs Cerro Larā€¦ 0-4
Jun 15 Club Naciā€¦ vs PeƱarol Mā€¦ 2-1
May 20 Club Naciā€¦ vs Deportivoā€¦ 0-2
Apr 06 Club Naciā€¦ vs Cerro Larā€¦ 1-0
Mar 23 Club Naciā€¦ vs Progreso 0-0
Feb 06 Club Naciā€¦ vs PeƱarol Mā€¦ 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • PeƱarol Montevideo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 15, 2024 Club Nacional 2 - 1 PeƱarol Montevideo Primera Divisiā€¦
Feb 06, 2024 PeƱarol Montevideo 2 - 1 Club Nacional Copa Uruguay
Final Verdict

STANDARD: PeƱarol Montevideo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
PeƱarol Montevideo Power 0
Club Nacional Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.