AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Oct 19, 2024

Kashiwa Reysol

Home
VS
05:00

Machida Zelvia

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Kashiwa Reysol Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Machida Zelvia Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.59 - 1.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.7
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kashiwa Reysol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Machida Zelvia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Kashiwa Reysol Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 21 Kashiwa R… vs Vissel Ko… 0-1
Jun 09 Kashiwa R… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-0
Jun 05 Kashiwa R… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-1
May 22 Kashiwa R… vs Avispa Fu… 2-1
May 03 Kashiwa R… vs Machida Z… 2-0
Apr 24 Kashiwa R… vs Thespakus… 1-3
Dec 09 Kashiwa R… vs Kawasaki … 0-0
Dec 03 Kashiwa R… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-1
Nov 25 Kashiwa R… vs Sagan Tosu 2-2
Machida Zelvia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 08 Machida Z… vs Albirex N… 2-0
Sep 04 Machida Z… vs Albirex N… 5-0
Jul 20 Machida Z… vs Yokohama … 1-2
Jun 15 Machida Z… vs Yokohama … 1-3
Jun 09 Machida Z… vs Cerezo Os… 2-2
Jun 05 Machida Z… vs Cerezo Os… 1-3
May 22 Machida Z… vs Kashima 2-0
May 03 Machida Z… vs Kashiwa R… 2-0
Apr 21 Machida Z… vs FC Tokyo 1-2
Apr 17 Machida Z… vs Kitakyushu 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kashiwa Reysol struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2024 Machida Zelvia 2 - 0 Kashiwa Reysol J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kashiwa Reysol to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kashiwa Reysol Power 0
Machida Zelvia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.