AI Match Insights

A-League May 02, 2025

Central Coast Mariners

Home
VS
09:35

Brisbane Roar

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Central Coast Mariners Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Brisbane Roar Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.99 - 2.62
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Central Coast Mariners Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Brisbane Roar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-3 (5%) 3-3 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Under 2.5 Goals 21%
Central Coast Mariners Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Central C… vs Macarthur… 2-2
Apr 12 Central C… vs Newcastle… 6-0
Apr 05 Central C… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Mar 30 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 3-1
Mar 16 Central C… vs Auckland 2-2
Mar 08 Central C… vs Melbourne… 3-0
Feb 22 Central C… vs Western S… 0-4
Feb 07 Central C… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Jan 25 Central C… vs Wellingto… 0-0
Jan 17 Central C… vs Western S… 1-3
Brisbane Roar Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 1-0
Apr 22 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 1-1
Apr 17 Brisbane … vs Western U… 2-1
Apr 11 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 3-2
Apr 04 Brisbane … vs Macarthur… 1-5
Mar 30 Brisbane … vs Auckland 0-2
Mar 15 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 1-3
Mar 08 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 1-1
Mar 01 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Feb 21 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 03, 2025 Brisbane Roar 1 - 3 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Jan 27, 2024 Central Coast Marin… 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar A-League
Dec 21, 2023 Brisbane Roar 0 - 3 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Nov 12, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar A-League
Apr 01, 2023 Central Coast Marin… 4 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Feb 10, 2023 Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
May 03, 2022 Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Central Coast Marin… A-League
Mar 05, 2022 Central Coast Marin… 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Central Coast Mariners Power 0
Brisbane Roar Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Central Coast Mariners Position

-4

Position Gap

7

Brisbane Roar Position

Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.