AI Match Insights

A-League Apr 27, 2025

Auckland

Home
VS
05:00

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Auckland Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Perth Glory Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.50 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Auckland Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Auckland Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Auckland vs Melbourne… 0-2
Apr 12 Auckland vs Sydney 2-2
Apr 05 Auckland vs Western S… 1-1
Mar 30 Auckland vs Brisbane … 0-2
Mar 16 Auckland vs Central C… 2-2
Mar 09 Auckland vs Newcastle… 1-1
Feb 22 Auckland vs Wellingto… 6-1
Feb 01 Auckland vs Macarthur… 2-1
Jan 26 Auckland vs Western S… 0-1
Jan 18 Auckland vs Melbourne… 3-0
Perth Glory Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 4-1
Apr 05 Perth Glo… vs Western U… 3-1
Mar 30 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 3-1
Mar 15 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 1-3
Mar 02 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 4-1
Feb 22 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 0-0
Feb 15 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Feb 07 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 1-1
Feb 01 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Jan 14 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Perth Glory struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Perth Glory 1 - 0 Auckland A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Auckland to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Auckland Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Auckland Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position

Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.