AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Apr 19, 2025

Western Sydney Wanderers

Home
VS
09:35

Melbourne City

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Melbourne City Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.59 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Western S… vs Western U… 2-0
Apr 05 Western S… vs Auckland 1-1
Mar 29 Western S… vs Wellingto… 2-2
Mar 15 Western S… vs Melbourne… 4-2
Mar 02 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 4-1
Feb 22 Western S… vs Central C… 0-4
Feb 16 Western S… vs Macarthur… 2-1
Feb 08 Western S… vs Sydney 3-3
Jan 31 Western S… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Jan 26 Western S… vs Auckland 0-1
Melbourne City Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 11 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 3-2
Apr 05 Melbourne… vs Central C… 1-0
Mar 29 Melbourne… vs Sydney 2-3
Mar 12 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Mar 07 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 2-0
Feb 28 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Feb 22 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Feb 15 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Feb 07 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Jan 25 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Western Sydney Wanderers in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Melbourne City in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 30, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 20, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Melbourne City A-League
Mar 12, 2024 Melbourne City 7 - 0 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 1 Melbourne City A-League
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 3 Melbourne City A-League
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3 - 3 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Melbourne City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Melbourne City Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.