AI Match Insights
A-League Apr 12, 2025
Wellington Phoenix
HomeVS
05:00
Melbourne Victory
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Wellington Phoenix Win
Draw
Melbourne Victory Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.07 - 0.90
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Wellington Phoenix Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Melbourne Victory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%)
0-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (13%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
Under 2.5 Goals
69%
Wellington Phoenix Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 06 | Wellingto… vs Newcastle… | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Wellingto… vs Western S… | 2-2 |
| Mar 16 | Wellingto… vs Sydney | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Wellingto… vs Melbourne… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Wellingto… vs Auckland | 6-1 |
| Feb 14 | Wellingto… vs Melbourne… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Wellingto… vs Brisbane … | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Wellingto… vs Central C… | 0-0 |
| Jan 20 | Wellingto… vs Macarthur… | 1-2 |
| Jan 15 | Wellingto… vs Sydney | 0-0 |
Melbourne Victory Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29 | Melbourne… vs Adelaide … | 5-3 |
| Mar 15 | Melbourne… vs Western S… | 4-2 |
| Mar 08 | Melbourne… vs Central C… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Melbourne… vs Brisbane … | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Melbourne… vs Melbourne… | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | Melbourne… vs Wellingto… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Melbourne… vs Sydney | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Melbourne… vs Adelaide … | 3-2 |
| Jan 04 | Melbourne… vs Western S… | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | Melbourne Victory | 1 - 0 | Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 0 | Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| May 18, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 2 | Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| May 12, 2024 | Melbourne Victory | 0 - 0 | Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 0 | Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 1 | Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Nov 10, 2023 | Melbourne Victory | 1 - 1 | Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 - 2 | Melbourne Victory | A-League |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Melbourne Victory | 3 - 1 | Wellington Phoenix | A-League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Wellington Phoenix Power
0
Melbourne Victory Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Wellington Phoenix Position-2
Position Gap8
Melbourne Victory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.