AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Apr 20, 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers

Home
VS
05:30

Melbourne City

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Melbourne City Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.59 - 1.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.5
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Western S… vs Sydney 2-1
Apr 05 Western S… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Apr 01 Western S… vs Macarthur… 1-3
Mar 16 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-2
Mar 12 Western S… vs Melbourne… 7-0
Mar 02 Western S… vs Sydney 1-4
Feb 24 Western S… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Feb 18 Western S… vs Central C… 1-0
Feb 11 Western S… vs Newcastle… 3-3
Feb 04 Western S… vs Macarthur… 4-3
Melbourne City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 8-0
Apr 06 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Apr 02 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-1
Mar 30 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-0
Mar 12 Melbourne… vs Western S… 7-0
Mar 09 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Macarthur… 2-0
Feb 24 Melbourne… vs Sydney 1-1
Feb 17 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Feb 10 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 5-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Western Sydney Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2024 Melbourne City 7 - 0 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 1 Melbourne City A-League
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 3 Melbourne City A-League
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3 - 3 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Melbourne City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Melbourne City Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.