AI Match Insights

W-League Mar 26, 2025

Brisbane Roar Women

Home
VS
08:00

Melbourne City Women

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Brisbane Roar Women Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Melbourne City Women Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.74 - 1.20
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (17%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Brisbane Roar Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 23 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 3-1
Mar 16 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 2-3
Mar 02 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 3-2
Feb 16 Brisbane … vs Western U… 0-0
Feb 09 Brisbane … vs Western S… 2-1
Feb 02 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 1-0
Jan 26 Brisbane … vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Jan 19 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 2-3
Jan 11 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Jan 08 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Melbourne City Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 4-3
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 1-1
Feb 15 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-1
Feb 08 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Feb 01 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Jan 25 Melbourne… vs Western S… 0-1
Jan 11 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Jan 05 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-1
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Dec 20 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Brisbane Roar Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Melbourne City Women 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Mar 02, 2024 Brisbane Roar Women 2 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Dec 28, 2023 Melbourne City Women 5 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 03, 2022 Melbourne City Women 3 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 24, 2022 Melbourne City Women 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Brisbane Roar Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position

-1

Position Gap

1

Melbourne City Women Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.