AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 22, 2025

Canberra United Women

Home
VS
05:00

Sydney FC Women

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Canberra United Women Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sydney FC Women Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.32 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Canberra United Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Canberra … vs Western U… 4-3
Mar 09 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-0
Mar 01 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Feb 15 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 1-1
Feb 08 Canberra … vs Central C… 1-1
Feb 01 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Jan 25 Canberra … vs Newcastle… 2-2
Jan 18 Canberra … vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 15 Canberra … vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 04 Canberra … vs Brisbane … 1-2
Sydney FC Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Mar 08 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Mar 02 Sydney FC… vs Brisbane … 3-2
Feb 15 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Jan 31 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 2-3
Jan 24 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Jan 15 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 2-0
Jan 10 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Jan 05 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Dec 28 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney FC Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2025 Sydney FC Women 2 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 27, 2024 Canberra United Wom… 1 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Jan 03, 2024 Sydney FC Women 1 - 1 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Feb 11, 2023 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 1 Sydney FC Women W-League
Jan 15, 2022 Sydney FC Women 6 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Apr 05, 2021 Sydney FC Women 3 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 26, 2021 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Canberra United Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Canberra United Women Power 0
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Canberra United Women Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Sydney FC Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.