AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 21, 2025

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
08:00

Newcastle Jets Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Newcastle Jets Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 4.50 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-0
Mar 01 Melbourne… vs Western U… 1-2
Feb 16 Melbourne… vs Central C… 2-0
Feb 01 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Jan 24 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Jan 11 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Jan 08 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Jan 05 Melbourne… vs Western S… 4-4
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-1
Dec 21 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-2
Newcastle Jets Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 2-3
Mar 08 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Mar 01 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Feb 14 Newcastle… vs Western S… 4-1
Feb 08 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Feb 01 Newcastle… vs Central C… 5-1
Jan 25 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 2-2
Jan 19 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 3-2
Jan 11 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Jan 08 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Newcastle Jets Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Mar 23, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Nov 12, 2023 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 18, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 5 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Feb 08, 2022 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 20, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 07, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.