AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Mar 27, 2024

Canberra United Women

Home
VS
05:00

Sydney FC Women

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Canberra United Women Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Sydney FC Women Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.32 - 1.31
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Canberra United Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Sydney FC Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Canberra United Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 24 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 1-0
Mar 17 Canberra … vs Central C… 4-1
Mar 13 Canberra … vs Western S… 4-1
Mar 09 Canberra … vs Western S… 1-1
Mar 01 Canberra … vs Western U… 4-2
Feb 10 Canberra … vs Perth Glo… 2-2
Feb 04 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 3-1
Jan 28 Canberra … vs Wellingto… 2-0
Jan 20 Canberra … vs Melbourne… 2-3
Jan 13 Canberra … vs Adelaide … 3-1
Sydney FC Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 24 Sydney FC… vs Adelaide … 3-0
Mar 17 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 2-4
Mar 09 Sydney FC… vs Western U… 3-1
Mar 02 Sydney FC… vs Western S… 0-2
Feb 10 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Feb 03 Sydney FC… vs Perth Glo… 3-1
Jan 26 Sydney FC… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Jan 21 Sydney FC… vs Newcastle… 2-1
Jan 03 Sydney FC… vs Canberra … 1-1
Dec 29 Sydney FC… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sydney FC Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Canberra United Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 03, 2024 Sydney FC Women 1 - 1 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Feb 11, 2023 Canberra United Wom… 2 - 1 Sydney FC Women W-League
Jan 15, 2022 Sydney FC Women 6 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Apr 05, 2021 Sydney FC Women 3 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Mar 26, 2021 Canberra United Wom… 0 - 0 Sydney FC Women W-League
Feb 08, 2021 Sydney FC Women 4 - 0 Canberra United Wom… W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Canberra United Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Canberra United Women Power 0
Sydney FC Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Canberra United Women Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Sydney FC Women Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.