AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
New South Wales NPL Aug 09, 2024

Manly United

Home
VS
09:30

St George City FA

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Manly United Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
St George City FA Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.96 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manly United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
St George City FA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Manly United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Manly Uniā€¦ vs NWS Spirit 4-2
Jul 26 Manly Uniā€¦ vs Sutherlanā€¦ 1-2
May 04 Manly Uniā€¦ vs St Georgeā€¦ 3-1
Jun 24 Manly Uniā€¦ vs St Georgeā€¦ 1-1
Mar 11 Manly Uniā€¦ vs St Georgeā€¦ 2-0
St George City FA Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 St Georgeā€¦ vs Hills Bruā€¦ 3-1
Aug 03 St Georgeā€¦ vs Marconi Sā€¦ 0-1
Jul 28 St Georgeā€¦ vs Central Cā€¦ 1-1
Jul 27 St Georgeā€¦ vs Hills Bruā€¦ 2-3
Jul 20 St Georgeā€¦ vs Western Sā€¦ 5-0
May 04 St Georgeā€¦ vs Manly Uniā€¦ 3-1
Jun 24 St Georgeā€¦ vs Manly Uniā€¦ 1-1
Mar 11 St Georgeā€¦ vs Manly Uniā€¦ 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • St George City FA in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Manly United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 04, 2024 St George City FA 3 - 1 Manly United New South Waleā€¦
Jun 24, 2023 St George City FA 1 - 1 Manly United New South Waleā€¦
Mar 11, 2023 Manly United 2 - 0 St George City FA New South Waleā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manly United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manly United Power 0
St George City FA Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.