AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League May 07, 2025

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Ittihad FC

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Al-Ittihad FC Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 3.14 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Al-Ittihad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Al-Nassr Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 22 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-3
Apr 18 Al-Nassr vs Al-Qadisi… 2-1
Apr 12 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 2-1
Apr 04 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 1-3
Mar 14 Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood 3-1
Mar 07 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 2-2
Feb 21 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 2-3
Feb 13 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 2-3
Jan 17 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Jan 09 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-1
Al-Ittihad FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 21 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 3-2
Apr 17 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fateh … 2-0
Apr 01 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 3-2
Mar 13 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Riyadh 2-1
Mar 06 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Qadisi… 1-1
Mar 02 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Akhdoud 1-1
Feb 06 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 1-2
Feb 01 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Akhdoud 4-3
Jan 27 Al-Ittiha… vs Damac 2-1
Jan 22 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Ittihad FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2024 Al-Ittihad FC 2 - 1 Al-Nassr Pro League
May 27, 2024 Al-Nassr 4 - 2 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 2 - 5 Al-Nassr Pro League
Mar 09, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Jan 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Oct 02, 2022 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al-Ittihad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Nassr Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Al-Ittihad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.