AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League May 27, 2024

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Ittihad FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Al-Ittihad FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Al-Ittihad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Al-Nassr Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 2-2
May 17 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 1-1
May 09 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 2-3
May 04 Al-Nassr vs Al Wehda … 6-0
May 01 Al-Nassr vs Al Khalee… 3-1
Apr 27 Al-Nassr vs Al Khalee… 0-1
Apr 08 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 2-1
Apr 05 Al-Nassr vs Damac 0-1
Mar 15 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 0-1
Feb 25 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 2-3
Al-Ittihad FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 23 Al-Ittiha… vs Damac 4-1
May 16 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Khalee… 1-1
May 10 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 0-5
May 03 Al-Ittiha… vs Abha 3-1
Apr 30 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-2
Apr 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 1-3
Apr 20 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Hazem 2-3
Apr 11 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ahli S… 1-4
Apr 08 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Wehda … 2-1
Apr 05 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Ittihad FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 2 - 5 Al-Nassr Pro League
Mar 09, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Jan 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Oct 02, 2022 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al-Ittihad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Nassr Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Al-Ittihad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.