AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
King's Cup Dec 11, 2023

Al Shabab

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Nassr

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Al Shabab Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Al-Nassr Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 2.26 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Shabab Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Al Shabab Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 02 Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… 1-2
Nov 03 Al Shabab vs Al-Ittiha… 1-0
Oct 31 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 1-2
Sep 21 Al Shabab vs Al-Hazem 4-1
Sep 15 Al Shabab vs Al-Fateh … 0-1
Sep 02 Al Shabab vs Al Khalee… 1-3
Aug 29 Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr 4-0
Jul 28 Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr 0-0
May 27 Al Shabab vs Al Taawou… 0-3
May 23 Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr 3-2
Al-Nassr Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 4-1
Dec 05 Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol 1-1
Dec 01 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 3-0
Nov 24 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-0
Oct 31 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 1-0
Oct 21 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-1
Oct 02 Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol 3-1
Sep 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 4-3
Aug 29 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 4-0
Aug 18 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Shabab in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 29, 2023 Al-Nassr 4 - 0 Al Shabab Pro League
Jul 28, 2023 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al Shabab Arab Club Cham…
May 23, 2023 Al-Nassr 3 - 2 Al Shabab Pro League
Jan 14, 2023 Al Shabab 0 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
May 06, 2022 Al-Nassr 4 - 2 Al Shabab Pro League
Nov 05, 2021 Al Shabab 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Shabab to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Shabab Power 0
Al-Nassr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.